ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA, NILAI TUKAR, INFLASI, JUMLAH PENDUDUK, DAN PERTUMBUHAN PDB TERHADAP NILAI EKSPOR ALAS KAKI INDONESIA TAHUN 2005-2021

Abstract

The main purpose of this research is to analyze Indonesia’s Economic Growth, Exchange Rate, Inflation, population of Export Destination Countries, and GDP Growth of Export Destination Countries to Indonesia’s Footwear Exports value. The sample used in this research is secondary data on the period from 2005 to 2021 quarterly. Using SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences), the method of analysis used in this study includes tolerance and VIF test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Durbin-Watson statistic, multivariate cointegration tests: Test, SRESID and ZPRED estimation, t-statistical tests, F-statistical test, coefficient of determination (R2), and Pearson Correlation Product Moment. The result of this research shows that Indonesia’s GDP growth, the population of export destination countries, and GDP growth of export destination countries have a significant influence on Indonesia's footwear export value. All independent variables simultaneously from a good model to explain the solvable since the magnitude of the effect value is 88,7% while the remaining 11,3% is explained by other variables besides the independent variables in this research.